How does the Prophet model work?

At its core, the Prophet procedure is an additive regression model with four main components: A piecewise linear or logistic growth curve trend. Prophet automatically detects changes in trends by selecting changepoints from the data . A yearly seasonal component modeled using Fourier series.

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What is DS and Y in Prophet?

The input to Prophet is always a dataframe with two columns: ds and y . The ds (datestamp) column should be of a format expected by Pandas, ideally YYYY-MM-DD for a date or YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM:SS for a timestamp. The y column must be numeric, and represents the measurement we wish to forecast.

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How do you forecast a prophet?

Prophet is a procedure for forecasting time series data based on an additive model where non-linear trends are fit with yearly, weekly, and daily seasonality, plus holiday effects . It works best with time series that have strong seasonal effects and several seasons of historical data.

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